[Risk of surgery in geriatric age: prospective evaluation of risk factors]

The use of Risk Index in surgery is aimed to plan surgical strategy in order to achieve a better post-operative prognosis. This is especially true in geriatric surgery where ASA Index and, more recently, Reiss Index are widely employed. Since the mentionated Risk Indices are calculated on the basis of different factors, in this prospective study we compared the two Risk Indices with the aim of verify which index offers better prognostic indications. 125 consecutive patients, aged older 70 years, undergoing surgical treatment, were investigated. The patients were grouped according to ASA Index and Reiss Index and postoperative morbidity and mortality rate was calculated. Both Indices resulted good predictive for the postoperative prognosis (ASA: G Statistic = 31.531, p < 0.001; Reiss: G Statistic = 18.416, p < 0.001), but ASA Index sensitivity was better (Specificity = 100%, sensitivity = 28%, false negative rate = 72%) than Reiss Index (Specificity = 100%, sensitivity = 0, false negative rate = 100%). Therefore ASA Index has clinical valid role in valuing surgical risk in elderly.