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Primary Outcome Assessment in a Pig Model of Acute Myocardial Infarction
Published on: October 14, 2016
Prognostic value of the admission electrocardiogram in acute coronary syndromes
S Savonitto1, D Ardissino, C B Granger
1Department of Cardiology A. De Gasperis, Ospedale Niguarda Cá Granda, Milan, Italy. ssavoni@tin.it
Insights
Electrocardiogram (ECG) findings in acute myocardial ischemia predict patient outcomes. ST-segment elevation or depression on ECG, along with elevated creatine kinase levels, indicate a higher risk of death or reinfarction.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Diagnostics
Background:
- Electrocardiogram (ECG) changes in acute chest pain correlate with adverse patient outcomes.
- Immediate risk stratification is crucial for managing acute coronary syndromes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the prognostic significance of various electrocardiogram (ECG) presentations in acute myocardial ischemia.
- To assess the predictive value of ECG findings for 30-day mortality or myocardial reinfarction.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 12,142 patients from the GUSTO-IIb trial.
- Categorization of presenting ECGs into T-wave inversion, ST-segment elevation, ST-segment depression, or combined changes.
- Multivariate analysis adjusting for baseline risk factors.
Main Results:
- Patients with ST-segment elevation (9.4%), ST-segment depression (10.5%), or combined changes (12.4%) had significantly higher rates of 30-day death or reinfarction compared to T-wave inversion (5.5%).
- Adjusted odds ratios for 30-day death/reinfarction were 1.68 for ST-segment elevation, 1.62 for ST-segment depression, and 2.27 for combined changes.
- Elevated admission creatine kinase levels independently predicted higher risk of death and reinfarction.
Conclusions:
- Presenting ECG findings enable immediate risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes.
- Elevated admission creatine kinase levels are associated with poorer prognosis.
Context:
The presence of ischemic changes on electrocardiogram (ECG) correlates with poorer outcomes in patients with acute chest pain.
Objective:
To determine the prognostic value of various ECG presentations of acute myocardial ischemia.
Design:
Retrospective analysis of the presenting ECGs of patients enrolled in Global Use of Strategies To Open Occluded Arteries in Acute Coronary Syndromes (GUSTO-IIb).
Setting:
Three hundred seventy-three hospitals in 13 countries in North America, Europe, Australia, and New Zealand.
Patients:
A total of 12142 patients who reported symptoms of cardiac ischemia at rest within 12 hours of admission and had signs of myocardial ischemia confirmed by ECG. On presenting ECG, 22% of patients had T-wave inversion, 28% had ST-segment elevation, 35% had ST-segment depression, and 15% had a combination of ST-segment elevation and depression.
Main Outcome Measure:
Ability of presenting ECG to predict death or myocardial reinfarction during the first 30 days of follow-up.
Results:
The 30-day incidence of death or myocardial reinfarction was 5.5% in patients with T-wave inversion, 9.4% in those with ST-segment elevation, 10.5% in those with ST-segment depression, and 12.4% in those with ST-segment elevation and depression (P<.001). After adjusting for factors associated with an increased risk of 30-day death or reinfarction, compared with those who had T-wave inversion only, the odds of 30-day death or reinfarction were 1.68 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.36-2.08) in those with ST-segment elevation, 1.62 (95% CI, 1.32-1.98) for those with ST-segment depression, and 2.27 (95% CI, 1.80-2.86) for those with combined elevation and depression. An elevated creatine kinase level at admission correlated with a higher risk of death (odds ratio [OR], 2.36; 95% CI, 1.92-2.91) and death or reinfarction (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.32-1.85). The ECG category and creatine kinase level at admission remained highly predictive of death and myocardial infarction after multivariate adjustment for the significant baseline predictors of events.
Conclusions:
The ECG at presentation allows immediate risk stratification across the spectrum of acute coronary syndromes. An elevated creatine kinase level at admission is associated with worse outcomes.
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