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Molecular clock mirages.

F J Ayala1

  • 1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Irvine 92697-2525, USA. fjayala@uci.edu

Bioessays : News and Reviews in Molecular, Cellular and Developmental Biology
|March 10, 1999
PubMed
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The molecular clock hypothesis suggests constant evolutionary rates. However, experimental data reveal higher variance than predicted, indicating natural selection

Area of Science:

  • Evolutionary biology
  • Molecular evolution

Background:

  • The molecular clock hypothesis posits constant rates of molecular evolution across time and lineages.
  • Neutral theory predicts a Poisson process for molecular evolution, where mean and variance are equal.
  • Empirical data frequently demonstrate a higher variance than the mean (hypervariance).

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate existing hypotheses proposed to explain the hypervariance observed in molecular evolution.
  • To determine if proposed predictive hypotheses for molecular evolution can be generally sustained.
  • To understand the underlying mechanisms driving molecular evolution rates.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of four recent research papers investigating molecular evolution rates.
  • Comparison of experimental data against predictions from the neutral theory of molecular evolution.

Related Experiment Videos

  • Assessment of various hypotheses attempting to account for molecular hypervariance.
  • Main Results:

    • None of the recently proposed predictive hypotheses for molecular evolution could be generally maintained.
    • Experimental data consistently show that the variance in molecular evolution rates is typically larger than the mean.
    • Molecular evolution is influenced by natural selection, which is not a constant rate process.

    Conclusions:

    • The observed hypervariance in molecular evolution suggests it is not a simple Poisson process.
    • Natural selection appears to be a significant factor influencing the rates and patterns of molecular evolution.
    • Despite deviations, the accumulation of empirical data can lead to an approximate molecular clock due to convergence over large numbers.