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Published on: February 16, 2011
Is health care really a luxury?
1Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario, London, Canada. blomqvist@sscl.uwo.ca
This study challenges the common belief that healthcare spending grows faster than income. Using advanced time series analysis, it suggests the income elasticity of healthcare spending may be less than one.
Area of Science:
- Health Economics
- Econometrics
Background:
- A prevailing view suggests income elasticity of healthcare spending exceeds one.
- This view is largely based on international cross-section and pooled time-series data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To re-examine the income elasticity of healthcare spending.
- To investigate long-run equilibrium relationships in non-stationary time series.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of long-run equilibrium relationships.
- Utilizing non-stationary time series data.
- Accounting for autonomous trends.
Main Results:
- Results question the validity of pooling cross-section and time-series data.
- Evidence casts doubt on the notion that income elasticity of healthcare spending is above one.
Conclusions:
- The common view on healthcare spending elasticity may be unreliable.
- Rethinking the methodology for analyzing healthcare expenditure trends is necessary.
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