Related Experiment Videos
Predicting effects of minimal invasive therapy
B S Bloom1, A M Fendrick, C McLane
1Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia 19104, USA.
Health Policy (Amsterdam, Netherlands)
|January 8, 1996
Summary
Minimal invasive therapy (MIT) is predicted to significantly reduce hospital stays and costs. Experts anticipate profound impacts on patients, providers, and payers, necessitating a focus on hospital sector adaptation.
Area of Science:
- Medical Technology
- Surgical Innovation
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Minimal invasive therapy (MIT) represents a significant shift in surgical practice.
- Understanding the projected impact of MIT on healthcare systems is crucial for strategic planning.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the expected effects of minimal invasive therapy (MIT) on healthcare systems.
- To gather expert opinions on the future adoption and impact of MIT.
Main Methods:
- A structured questionnaire was distributed to 35 leading academic surgeons in the UK, USA, and Canada.
- Surgeons' predictions on MIT adoption for specific operations and its effects on hospitals over 5 years were collected.
- Predictions were compared with published data 2 years post-survey.
Main Results:
- Experts predicted 34 operations would adopt MIT, with 53% of eligible patients receiving the procedure.
- Anticipated outcomes include a 10 million inpatient day reduction, a 62% decrease in average length of stay, and $4.5 billion in US savings.
- Similar impacts were expected globally.
Conclusions:
- Many expert predictions regarding MIT adoption and its effects are materializing.
- Continued trends suggest substantial impacts on patients, providers (including hospital utilization and training), and payers.
- The hospital sector requires focused attention due to expected changes in service mix, revenue, and personnel needs.