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Population requirement for primary hip-replacement surgery: a cross-sectional study
S Frankel1, J Eachus, N Pearson
1Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol. stephen.frankel@bristol.ac.uk
Lancet (London, England)
|April 28, 1999
Summary
The study estimates England needs 46,600 primary total hip replacements annually. Current provision is around 43,500, suggesting demand for hip surgery is achievable with agreed criteria.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedic Surgery
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Significant unmet demand exists for elective surgeries like total hip replacement (THR) globally.
- Estimating population needs for THR is crucial for healthcare planning in England.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the population requirement for primary total hip replacement in England.
- To assess the gap between estimated need and current provision of THR.
Main Methods:
- Cross-sectional study of 28,080 individuals aged 35+ in Avon and Somerset, UK.
- Two-stage disease identification: screening questionnaire and clinical examination.
- Statistical modeling used to estimate incident disease and surgical requirement based on pain, function, comorbidity, and patient preference.
Main Results:
- Prevalence of hip disease requiring surgery was 15.2 per 1000 (aged 35-85).
- Estimated annual incidence of hip disease requiring surgery was 2.23 per 1000.
- Total estimated annual requirement for THR in England is 46,600 operations, compared to 43,500 provided.
Conclusions:
- The findings suggest that meeting the demand for total hip replacement is feasible.
- Agreed-upon surgical criteria can guide the satisfaction of THR needs.

