Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jul 17, 2026

Measuring the Subjective Value of Risky and Ambiguous Options using Experimental Economics and Functional MRI Methods
Published on: September 19, 2012
On taking chances with the law of large numbers
Abstract:
An increasing number of major purchasers of health services now consider capitation to be the preferred method of payment for individual physicians and small group practices. This paper is a primer on capitation payment plans for small risk pools. It describes some of the basic economic issues that purchasers and providers face when negotiating small-panel capitation contracts, including sources of risk, techniques of risk reduction and risk sharing. An empirical section analyses the experience of a plan that took a chance with the law (law of large numbers) and lost.
Related Concept Videos
Probability Laws
Probability in Statistics
An example of a simple event is a coin toss. The result of a coin toss is either a head or a tail. Here, head and tail are two simple events. These two simple events make up the sample space. Further, the probability of an event occurring falls within the range of 0 to 1. The probability of an...
Unusual Results
According to the range rule of thumb, any value above or below two standard deviations, 2σ from the mean, μ is considered unusual.
Maximum unusual value = μ + 2σ
Minimum unusual value...
Central Limit Theorem
The sample size, n, that...
Testing a Claim about Population Proportion
There are two methods of testing a claim about a population proportion: (1) Using the sample proportion from the data where a binomial distribution is approximated to the normal distribution and (2) Using the binomial probabilities calculated from the data.
The first method uses normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution. The requirements are as follows: sample size is large...
Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error

