Prognostic value of systemic blood pressure response during exercise in a community-based patient population with

I Olivotto1, B J Maron, A Montereggi

  • 1Cardiologia di S. Luca and Medicina Generale III, Ospedale di Careggi, Florence, Italy.

Insights

Abnormal blood pressure response to exercise (ABPR) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients indicates higher mortality risk in those under 50. However, ABPR is not a reliable standalone predictor for clinical management decisions.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Exercise Physiology

Background:

  • Abnormal blood pressure response to exercise (ABPR) is a potential indicator of hemodynamic instability and mortality risk in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM).
  • Previous studies focused on highly selected HCM populations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To prospectively assess the prognostic significance of ABPR in a community-based HCM cohort.
  • To determine if ABPR predicts adverse outcomes across the HCM disease spectrum.

Main Methods:

  • 126 HCM patients underwent maximal symptom-limited cycloergometer exercise testing.
  • Patients were followed for an average of 4.7 years.
  • ABPR was defined as hypotension or a failed blood pressure increase (<20 mm Hg) during exercise.

Main Results:

  • 22% of patients exhibited ABPR (hypotension or failed BP rise).
  • ABPR was associated with significantly increased cardiovascular mortality risk in patients aged ≤50 years (OR 4.5, p=0.04).
  • Positive predictive accuracy for mortality was low (14%), while negative predictive accuracy was high (95%).

Conclusions:

  • ABPR occurs in over 20% of community-based HCM patients and predicts worse prognosis in those under 50.
  • The low positive predictive accuracy of ABPR limits its use for modifying clinical management or identifying high-risk patients alone.
  • High negative predictive accuracy suggests ABPR is valuable for identifying low-risk HCM patient subsets when other risk factors are absent.
Abstract

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