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Updated: Jun 30, 2026

Assessment of Child Anthropometry in a Large Epidemiologic Study

Assessment of Child Anthropometry in a Large Epidemiologic Study

Published on: February 2, 2017

Tracking of body mass index in children in relation to overweight in adulthood.

S S Guo¹, W C Chumlea

¹Division of Human Biology, Departments of Community Health and Pediatrics, Wright State University School of Medicine, Yellow Springs, OH.

The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition

|July 7, 1999

Summary

Childhood body mass index (BMI) can predict adult overweight. Higher childhood BMI, especially in adolescence, increases the likelihood of being overweight later in life.

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Area of Science:

Pediatrics
Public Health
Obesity Research

Background:

Elevated body mass index (BMI) in adulthood is linked to increased health risks.
Childhood BMI correlates significantly with adult BMI, suggesting early life factors influence long-term weight status.

Purpose of the Study:

To evaluate the predictive accuracy of childhood body mass index (BMI) for identifying individuals at risk of overweight in adulthood.
To establish a method for assessing the probability of adult overweight based on a child's BMI.

Main Methods:

Analysis of body mass index (BMI) data from 555 white children.
Assessing predictive value of BMI at various childhood ages for adult overweight (defined as BMI >28 for men, >26 for women at 35 +/- 5 years).

Main Results:

Childhood BMI effectively predicts adult overweight status.
Predictive accuracy is excellent at age 18 years, good at 13 years, and moderate for ages younger than 13 years.
Eighteen-year-olds with BMI above the 60th percentile have a 34% (men) to 37% (women) probability of adult overweight.

Conclusions:

Childhood BMI is a valuable predictor of adult overweight.
Early identification of high BMI in children allows for targeted interventions to mitigate future health risks.
A practical method exists to estimate adult overweight probability from childhood BMI data.