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Graphic representation of sequential Bayesian analysis
I Heller1, M Topilsky, I Shapira
1Department of Internal Medicine H, Tel-Aviv Medical Center, Israel.
Methods of Information in Medicine
|October 16, 1999
Abstract:
Previously undescribed algebraic transforms of Bayes' theorem define families of operating points in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) space which, at given pre-test probability, produce constant post-test probabilities. These isopredictive operating points form straight lines in the ROC space. The lines can be used to emulate Bayesian sequential analysis in a strictly graphic procedure, which can be applied in clinical work and medical education.