Statistical theory of combinatorial libraries of folding proteins: energetic discrimination of a target structure

A self-consistent theory is presented that can be used to estimate the number and composition of sequences satisfying a predetermined set of constraints. The theory is formulated so as to examine the features of sequences having a particular value of Delta=E(f)-(u), where E(f) is the energy of sequences when in a target structure and (u) is an average energy of non-target structures. The theory yields the probabilities w(i)(alpha) that each position i in the sequence is occupied by a particular monomer type alpha. The theory is applied to a simple lattice model of proteins. Excellent agreement is observed between the theory and the results of exact enumerations. The theory provides a quantitative framework for the design and interpretation of combinatorial experiments involving proteins, where a library of amino acid sequences is searched for sequences that fold to a desired structure.