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Published on: July 3, 2007
Prognostic indicators of childhood acute viral encephalitis
1Department of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University, Karachi.
Insights
Clinical signs like prolonged seizures and impaired consciousness (Glasgow Coma Scale score ≤10) can predict poor outcomes in pediatric acute viral encephalitis. Early identification allows for aggressive management to improve patient prognosis.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Neurology
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Prognostics
Background:
- Acute viral encephalitis poses a significant threat to children, often leading to mortality or severe neurological deficits.
- Effective prognosis assessment is crucial for timely and appropriate clinical management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify clinical signs and laboratory parameters for assessing prognosis in pediatric acute viral encephalitis.
- To aid clinicians in planning management strategies for affected children.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of 147 pediatric medical records with acute viral encephalitis diagnosis.
- Data extraction focused on clinical signs and outcomes over a ten-year period (1987-1997).
Main Results:
- 16.3% of patients died, and 32.7% experienced severe neurological deficits.
- Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores ≤10 were associated with poor outcomes (OR=2.62 for 6-10, OR=5.49 for ≤5).
- Seizures lasting over 3 days strongly correlated with poor prognosis (OR=3.66).
Conclusions:
- Key indicators for high-risk pediatric acute viral encephalitis include prolonged seizures (>3 days) and impaired consciousness (GCS ≤10).
- Prompt identification of these high-risk factors is essential for initiating aggressive therapy.
- Early intervention can potentially improve long-term outcomes for children with severe encephalitis.
Objective:
To devise a set of clinical signs and laboratory parameters that would help clinicians assess prognosis in patients and plan appropriate management.
Methods:
Medical records of 147 paediatric cases (with a discharge diagnosis of acute viral encephalitis) admitted over a ten year period from 1987 to 1997 were reviewed and relevant information collected on a data extraction form.
Results:
Of 147 patients, 24 (16.3%) died and 48 (32.7%) were left with severe neurological deficits. A GCS (Glasgow Coma Scale) score between 6-10 had an association with poor outcome (OR = 2.62, Chi-square = 5.57, p-value = 0.018) and that a GCS score of > or = 5 was even more strongly suggestive of poor outcome (OR = 5.49, Chi-square = 12.08, p-value = 0.0005). A history of having seizures, for more than 3 days, also showed a strong association with poor outcome (OR = 3.66, Chi-square = 5.46, p-value = 0.019).
Conclusion:
Patients with an increased risk of death and severe disability can be identified using a few guidelines. Of these, a history of seizures of > 3 days and/or impaired consciousness (GCS < or = 10), at the time of presentation to the hospital, constitute high risk. These cases must be identified promptly and aggressive therapy initiated in order to improve long term outcome.
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