Predictive model for the growth of Yersinia enterocolitica under modified atmospheres

A quadratic response surface model is presented to describe the maximum specific growth rate of Yersinia enterocolitica, at refrigeration temperatures, under modified atmospheres. The presence of CO2 affected mainly the lag phase of the organism. The length of the lag phase increased with higher levels of CO2 in the atmosphere, and this effect was more noticeable at low temperatures. The effect of oxygen was similar but less pronounced. The observed growth was slower with higher CO2. Oxygen also decreased the growth rate, but its effect was significant only when its proportion in the atmosphere was greater than about 40%. Model predictions were compared with growth rates obtained in sea food inoculated with Y. enterocolitica and packaged under modified atmospheres. Predictions were also checked to determine whether they were inside the strict interpolation region of the model.