Counteracting progression of renal disease: A look into the future

It is the very nature of research, including medical research, that truly novel results are not predictable. Nevertheless, some predictions concerning the understanding and management of progression of renal disease are plausible. It is very likely that in the future, exploding health budgets will force authorities and nephrologists to more effectively apply existing knowledge in this field to patients with early renal disease, particularly diabetics. We hope that this optimistic note is justified, although experience admittedly indicates that it is very much against human nature to behave rationally. With the powerful methodological tools available today, it is safe to predict that insight into the mechanisms underlying progression will also increase. Although pharmacological blockade of the renin-angiotensin system has been one of the great success stories of the past two decades, in many patients, progression is seen despite administration of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers. Fortunately, additional targets for intervention, such as endothelin-1, inflammatory cascades, chemokines, etc., are on the horizon. A particularly fertile target for prevention of progression will be kidney grafts, since it has become increasingly clear that factors unrelated to allo-immunity play an important role in chronic allograft nephropathy.