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Published on: September 26, 2018
Epidemiological risk factors of coronary heart disease are not causal in atherosclerosis
1Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine, Wellington School of Medicine, Wellington South, New Zealand. wstehbens@wnmeds.ac.nz
Insights
Scientific progress in understanding atherosclerosis requires precise identification of its cause, not just statistical associations. Abandoning the term "risk factor" is crucial for accurate medical research and progress.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Science
- Pathogenesis of Atherosclerosis
- Epidemiological Methodology
Background:
- Atherogenesis requires a defined cause, not merely statistical associations.
- Current epidemiological practices often conflate correlation with causation for coronary heart disease (CHD).
- Extrapolations from CHD incidence to atherosclerosis are scientifically invalid without pathological evidence.
Purpose of the Study:
- To advocate for a rigorous definition of "cause" in atherogenesis research.
- To critique the misuse of "risk factors" in epidemiological studies of atherosclerosis.
- To emphasize the need for pathological and experimental validation of causal factors.
Main Methods:
- Logical deduction based on scientific principles.
- Critique of current epidemiological terminology and practices.
- Application of Koch's postulates for etiological validation.
Main Results:
- Statistical associations (risk factors) are insufficient to establish causality in atherogenesis.
- The term "risk factor" promotes a false concept of causality, hindering medical progress.
- Misuse of terminology impedes scientific integrity in cardiovascular research.
Conclusions:
- True scientific progress in atherogenesis necessitates strict adherence to causal logic.
- Abandoning the term "risk factor" is essential for advancing the understanding and treatment of atherosclerosis.
- Re-establishing precision in scientific language is vital for medical integrity.
Abstract:
Logic dictates that for scientific progress in atherogenesis "cause" must be the sole prequisite without which the disease cannot occur. Nor can it be assumed that statistical associations (risk factors) with coronary heart disease (CHD) are causal for atherosclerosis and extrapolations from correlations with CHD incidence to atherosclerosis are invalid. Any factor considered to play a role in atherogenesis requires pathological and experimental evidence consistent with the logic of Koch's specificity of cause and effect. Current epidemiological misuse and manipulation of cause and risk factors are contrary to the basic precepts of scientific logic and the fundamental need for precision in word usage. The term "risk factor", because of the current deeply entrenched false concept of causality has retarded medical progress and should be abandoned. Its adherents, guilty of a disservice to the tenets of their discipline, have also sullied the scientific integrity of medicine as a whole.
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