[Prognostic factors for survival following transarterial chemoembolization in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma]

The efficacy of transarterial chemoembolization in the palliative treatment of non-resectable hepatocellular carcinoma is controversial. To determine the possible existence of clinical and analytical variables with independent predictive value for survival related to the tumor and the treatment given, a multivariate analysis in a series of 111 patients who underwent transarterial chemoembolization was carried out. Overall actuarial survival was 54%, 31% and 24% at 1, 2 and 3 years respectively. Child-Pugh score (p < 0.05), tumor size (p < 0.05) and arterial occlusion after intraarterial chemotherapy (p < 0.05) reached independent predictive value. The group of patients in whom two or three of these factors were simultaneously present had a very poor prognosis with a survival of 20% and 0% at 1 and 2 years respectively, compared with 60%, 50% and 37% at 1, 2 and 3 years respectively in the group with one or none of these factors (p < 0.01). Grouping on the basis of these variables may be useful in the design of future controlled prospective studies that aim to determine the efficacy of transarterial chemoembolization.