An evaluation of three empirical air-to-leaf models for polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans

Three empirical air-to-leaf models for estimating grass concentrations of polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans (abbreviated dioxins and furans) from air concentrations of these compounds are described and tested against two field data sets. All are empirical in that they are founded on simplistic bioconcentration and related approaches which rely on field data for their parameterization. One of the models, identified as the EPA Model, partitions the total air concentration into vapor and particle phases, and separately models the impact of both. A second model addresses only the vapor phase; grass concentrations are modeled as a function of vapor deposition. For the third model, it is assumed that the grass plants "scavenge" a fixed volume of air of dioxins, and hence grass concentrations are modeled as a simple product of total air concentration and a constant scavenging coefficient. Field data from two sites, a rural and an industrial site in the United Kingdom, included concurrent measurements of dioxins in air and field grass, and dioxin and furan depositions, for one 6-week sampling period. Principal findings include: (1) the EPA Model underpredicted grass concentrations at the rural field site by a factor of 2, while the Scavenging Model underpredicted grass concentrations by a factor of 3.8, and the Vapor Deposition Model significantly underpredicted grass concentrations (by a factor greater than 10), (2) the presence of high soil concentrations for some of the dioxins and furans at the industrial site appears to have caused higher grass concentrations and confounded the air-to-plant modeling exercise, (3) the Scavenging Model could be calibrated to the data set; however, a key premise of this model that vapor and particle phase dioxins equally impact the plants, is not supported by the field data, (4) measured depositions are highly correlated to but systematically lower than modeled depositions, which could be due to modeling assumptions or a systematic measurement bias.