Prediction of programmed-temperature retention values of naphthas by artificial neural networks

It is proposed for the first time a method of prediction of the programmed-temperature retention times of components of naphthas in capillary gas chromatography using artificial neural networks. People are used to predict the programmed-temperature retention time using many formulas such as the integral formula, which requires that four parameters must be determined by calculation or experiments. However the results obtained by the formula are not so good to meet the demand of industry. In order to predict retention time accurately and conveniently, artificial neural networks using five-fold cross-validation and leave-20%-out methods have been applied. Only two parameters: density and isothermal retention index were used as input vectors. The average RMS error for predicted values of five different networks was 0.18, whereas the RMS error of predictions by the integral formula was 0.69. Obviously, the predictions by neural networks were much better than predictions by the formula, and neural networks need fewer parameters than the formula. So neural networks can successfully and conveniently solve the problem of predictions of programmed-temperature retention times, and provide useful data for analysis of naphthas in petrochemical industry.