Usefulness of clinical scores to predict outcome in bacterial meningitis

The predictive usefulness of clinical scores in patients with acute bacterial meningitis was investigated. Fifty-one consecutive patients with acute bacterial meningitis were scored on days 1, 3, 5, 8, and 14 after admission according to the Sandinavian Stroke Scale (SSS), Glasgow Coma-Scale (GCS) and Hunt & Hess Scale (HH). As an index of their usefulness to predict the outcome, the scales were correlated with short-term outcome on day 21 assessed by the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS). The scores of all three scales correlated highly significantly with short-term outcome. Depending on the day of assessment, Spearman correlation coefficients ranged between 0.52 and 0.88 for SSS, between 0.50 and 0.84 for GCS, and between -0.47 and -0.82 for HH. The scales differed in their ability to predict outcome on and after day 1: mortality was best predicted by GCS, and complete recovery was best predicted by SSS. The use of scales in bacterial meningitis provides a rational quantitative basis to predict outcome more graduated than in dead or alive. Because the scales accentuate different aspects of outcome (e.g. mortality, restitution), the selection of a scale to be used in clinical trials should take into consideration the main focus of the study.