Cognitive therapy: looking backward, looking forward

This article reviews some of the historical factors associated with the unprecedented strength and popularity of cognitive therapy, and offers predictions for the next half-century of this approach to treatment. It is predicted that the future will bring with it increased demands on cognitive therapy for evaluation of processes of change (including identification of therapeutic specifics and nonspecifics, technical specification of the process of therapy, and examination of therapist and patient predictors of change), and accountability and efficiency in the public and private sectors. With the increase in personal autonomy, globalization, and technology, the demands from the general public also will increase. One possible risk of the trend towards increased technology is that cognitive therapy may become overly technical. Although specific therapy techniques are crucial to delivering effective treatment, it is also the "nonspecifics" of therapy that add to the "art" of psychotherapy. The final challenge of cognitive therapy also may be the most difficult--to continue to be an empirically based science while maintaining its role in the art of healing.