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Volume-outcome relationships in pediatric intensive care units
J M Tilford1, P M Simpson, J W Green
1Department of Pediatrics, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, and Arkansas Children's Hospital, Little Rock, Arkansas, USA. tilfordmickj@exchange.uams.edu
Context:
Pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) have expanded nationally, yet few studies have examined the potential impact of regionalization and no study has demonstrated whether a relationship between patient volume and outcome exists in these units. Documentation of an inverse relationship between volume and outcome has important implications for regionalization of care.
Objectives:
This study examines relationships between the volume of patients and other unit characteristics on patient outcomes in PICUs. Specifically, we investigate whether an increase in patient volume improves mortality risk and reduces length of stay.
Design And Setting:
A prospective multicenter cohort design was used with 16 PICUs. All of the units participated in the Pediatric Critical Care Study Group. Participants. Data were collected on 11 106 consecutive admissions to the 16 units over a 12-month period beginning in January 1993.
Main Outcome Measures:
Risk-adjusted mortality and length of stay were examined in multivariate analyses. The multivariate models used the Pediatric Risk of Mortality score and other clinical measures as independent variables to risk-adjust for illness severity and case-mix differences.
Results:
The average patient volume across the 16 PICUs was 863 with a standard deviation of 341. We found significant effects of patient volume on both risk-adjusted mortality and patient length of stay. A 100-patient increase in PICU volume decreased risk-adjusted mortality (adjusted odds ratio:.95; 95% confidence interval:.91-.99), and reduced length of stay (incident rate ratio:.98; 95% confidence interval:.975-.985). Other PICU characteristics, such as fellowship training program, university hospital affiliation, number of PICU beds, and children's hospital affiliation, had no effect on risk-adjusted mortality or patient length of stay.
Conclusions:
The volume of patients in PICUs is inversely related to risk-adjusted mortality and patient length of stay. A further understanding of this relationship is needed to develop effective regionalization and referral policies for critically ill children.