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Postneonatal and child mortality among twins in Southern and Eastern Africa

A Justesen1, A Kunst

  • 1Department of Public Health, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Insights

Twin children in sub-Saharan Africa face significantly higher mortality rates than singletons, especially in the first year of life. Factors like male sex and low socioeconomic status increase this risk, highlighting the need for targeted interventions.

Area of Science:

  • Global Health
  • Demography
  • Pediatrics

Background:

  • Limited research exists on twin vs. singleton mortality in sub-Saharan Africa's postneonatal and childhood periods.
  • Investigating excess twin mortality and contributing factors is crucial for public health.
  • Healthcare utilization differences were hypothesized as a key factor in increased twin mortality.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To quantify the excess mortality of twins compared to singletons in postneonatal and childhood periods.
  • To identify specific factors contributing to higher twin mortality rates.
  • To assess the role of healthcare utilization in observed mortality differences.

Main Methods:

  • Pooled Demographic and Health Survey data from Malawi, Tanzania, and Zambia.
  • Employed logistic regression to estimate twin/singleton mortality differences.
  • Analyzed intermediate factors and effect modifiers on mortality risk.

Main Results:

  • The study included 18,214 singletons and 706 twins.
  • Twin/singleton odds ratio for mortality was 2.33 (95% CI: 1.85-2.93), highest in the first year.
  • Preventive care and breastfeeding did not significantly alter the mortality gap; male sex, unwanted birth, short birth interval, and low SES were risk modifiers.

Conclusions:

  • Sub-Saharan African twins experience considerable excess mortality compared to singletons.
  • Healthcare access or breastfeeding practices do not fully explain this disparity.
  • High-risk groups include male twins, unwanted children, those with short birth intervals, and the socioeconomically disadvantaged, requiring focused attention at under-5 clinics.
Abstract

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