Adult medulloblastoma: prognostic factors and patterns of relapse

To determine the patterns of relapse and the prognostic factors for adult medulloblastomas treated in the magnetic resonance imaging era.

Between 1986 and 1996, 32 adult patients (age, > or =16 yr) with medulloblastomas confined to the craniospinal axis were treated in our institutions. Twenty cases involved classic histological features and 12 involved the desmoplastic variant. The Chang staging distribution was as follows: T1, 2; T2, 17; T3, 10; T4, 3; M0, 24; M1, 1; M2, 4; M3, 3. Brainstem invasion was present in nine patients. Lesions were midline in 13 cases and lateral in 19. Resection was complete in 17 cases, subtotal in 6, and partial in 5, with biopsy only in 4 cases. All patients received postoperative radiotherapy, with median doses of 36 Gy to the entire craniospinal axis and 55 Gy to the posterior fossa. Twenty-four patients received chemotherapy (20 before radiotherapy, 3 after radiotherapy, and 1 before and after radiotherapy).

With a median follow-up period of 5.4 years, 17 patients experienced recurrences. At 5 and 8 years, overall survival rates were 83 and 45% and disease-free survival rates were 57 and 40%, respectively. The 5- and 8-year posterior fossa control rates were 67 and 59%, respectively. Twenty-nine percent of all relapses occurred more than 5 years after treatment. The posterior fossa was the most common site of relapses. In univariate analyses, factors adversely affecting posterior fossa control were less than complete resection (P<0.001), the presence of brainstem invasion (P = 0.02), and the use of chemotherapy (P = 0.03). The overall radiotherapy duration was marginally significant in predicting posterior fossa control, with 5-year posterior fossa control rates of 81 and 49% for durations of less than 48 days and 48 days or more, respectively (P = 0.06). In a multivariate analysis, complete resection was predictive of improved posterior fossa control (P = 0.02) and disease-free survival (P = 0.02) rates. Of the eight low-risk patients who received radiotherapy alone, three experienced recurrences in the bone as the only site of relapse.

Late relapse is common among adult patients with medulloblastomas, and long-term follow-up monitoring is important. Because of the high risk of systemic failure among the low-risk patients treated with radiotherapy alone, the role of chemotherapy for this group of patients needs to be further investigated. Complete resection, the absence of brainstem invasion, and an overall radiotherapy duration of less than 48 days are important prognostic factors.