Nonconjugate Bayesian analysis of variance component models
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Updated: Oct 13, 2026

Development of an Individual-Tree Basal Area Increment Model using a Linear Mixed-Effects Approach
Published on: July 3, 2020
1SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, North Carolina 27513, USA. russ.wolfinger@sas.com
Abstract:
We consider the usual normal linear mixed model for variance components from a Bayesian viewpoint. With conjugate priors and balanced data, Gibbs sampling is easy to implement; however, simulating from full conditionals can become difficult for the analysis of unbalanced data with possibly nonconjugate priors, thus leading one to consider alternative Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes. We propose and investigate a method for posterior simulation based on an independence chain. The method is customized to exploit the structure of the variance component model, and it works with arbitrary prior distributions. As a default reference prior, we use a version of Jeffreys' prior based on the integrated (restricted) likelihood. We demonstrate the ease of application and flexibility of this approach in familiar settings involving both balanced and unbalanced data.
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