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Workforce projections for optometry.

A J White¹, T Doksum, C White

¹Abt Associates, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.

Optometry (St. Louis, Mo.)

|September 22, 2000

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An excess supply of optometrists is projected in the US over the next 20 years, despite increasing patient demand. Optometry may need to increase demand to balance the future eye care provider workforce.

Area of Science:

Optometry
Public Health
Healthcare Workforce Analysis

Background:

Previous studies indicated a potential surplus of eye care providers.
Limitations in prior data necessitated updated optometric workforce projections.

Purpose of the Study:

To project future workforce requirements for optometrists through 2030.
To address data limitations and outdated information from previous workforce studies.

Main Methods:

Collected supply and demand data from 1,100 practicing optometrists via stratified random sampling.
Utilized a forecasting tool to develop workforce and training requirement projections.
Analyzed optometrist work hours, retirement rates, new entrants, patient encounters, and time requirements.

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Main Results:

Projections indicate a likely excess supply of optometrists for the next two decades.
Annual optometrist retirements (approx. 550) are significantly lower than new entrants (over 1,100).
Increased patient encounters are offset by reduced examination time, impacting overall demand.

Conclusions:

Optometry should explore strategies to increase the demand for eye care services.
Aligning actual demand with public health needs for eye care can help reduce the projected surplus.