Can biological markers predict recurrence and progression of superficial bladder cancer?

Biological markers that are predictive of recurrence and progression of superficial bladder tumors must provide additional information to that provided by multiplicity, size and grade. Field anomalies in normal appearing urothelium of patients with papillary superficial transitional cell carcinoma have been associated with tumor antigens and chromosome 9 deletions. Also, primary tumors with chromosome 9 deletions are associated with a higher risk of recurrence. Abnormal expression of p53, p21 and Ki-67 cell cycle markers have little predictive value for recurrence. However, p53 overexpression or mutation and decreased expression of p27 are associated with cancer progression and survival. New markers, such as mutations in the fibroblast growth factor receptor 3 gene (found in 30% of tumors), anomalies of the PTEN gene and vascular endothelial growth factor expression, may have potential and require further evaluation. Molecular fingerprints of superficial tumors with distinct clinical behavior are being rapidly unravelled. Large-scale clinical studies are urgently needed to provide supportive evidence for their incorporation in clinical management.