Sensitivity analysis of mercury human exposure

We present a comprehensive analysis of the sensitivity of mercury (Hg) human exposure to environmental variables using a multimedia model of the fate and transport of Hg in the environment. The results of the analysis show that the Hg dose is most sensitive to the lake pH, the burial rate of Hg adsorbed to sediments, and the chemical speciation of Hg emissions to the atmosphere. The lake pH has a strong non-linear effect on the methylation rate and bioaccumulation of Hg in fish. The burial of sediments is a major pathway for removing Hg from the lake cycling. The speciation of Hg emissions is important because Hg(II) is deposited much more rapidly than Hg(0). These results highlight the importance of key variables that should be investigated through well-designed field programs, so that we can minimize the overall uncertainties associated with the modeling of mercury fate and transport.