[Causes and prognosis of acute renal failure in elderly patients]

The prolonged life span of populations is the obvious reason for an increasing proportion of elderly patients with acute renal failure (ARF). The role of age as a factor indicative of a poor prognosis is a matter of controversy.

To evaluate this role we have analyzed the final outcome of elderly patients with ARF treated in our Nephrology Service.

Among 361 ARF cases prospectively studied during a two-year period (January 1995 to December 1996), 130 (36%) occurred in patients over 70 years of age. Etiology, clinical course and prognosis were analyzed. The average age was 76.0 +/- 4.7 years, varying from 70 to 94 years; 84 patients (65%) were male, and surgical causes accounted for 51% of geriatric ARF.

The most frequent causes were: ischemic (volume depletion, arterial hypotension, and/or low cardiac output) in 48 patients (38%), sepsis in 40 (312%), nephrotoxic drugs in 46 (35%) and obstructive abnormalities in 10 (7.7%); in other 14 (11%) they were diagnosed more than a causal agent. Oliguria was present in 37. 2% (81 patients), and dialysis was needed in 50 patients (39%). The mortality in the population with age below 70 years was 43% and in the elderly patients was 53.8%; total mortality was similar in both groups of patients (p=0.085). Oliguria, need for dialysis, presence of surgical causes of ARF, and ARF acquired within the intensive care unit were associated with poor prognosis in elderly group.

We concluded that the percentile of elderly patients with ARF is elevated; they presented mortality about of 50%, and this is not superior to the observed in the youngest population; oliguria, dialysis need, ICU cares and surgery are factors of unfavorable prognostic in these patients.