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Prediction of fluindione maintenance dosage hampered by large intraindividual variability
E Comets1, F Pousset, F Mentré
1INSERM U436, Modélisation mathématique et statistique en biologie et médecine, Centre Hospitalo-Universitaire Pitié-Salpêtrière, Paris, France.
Abstract:
In a previous study, the authors proposed a method to individualize fluindione dosage regimen, based on a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model describing the evolution of the International Normalized Ratio (INR). In this method, daily maintenance dosage for a target INR depends on the product of individual Cl and C50. The present work shows the results of a follow-up study in 50 patients for whom target INR was 2.5. INR measurements and dosage regimens were recorded both during hospital stay and during the 1st month of treatment. Patients were defined as equilibrated after 1 month if the last two INRs were in the range 1.5-3.5 under a stable dosage regimen. Actual maintenance dose was compared with the dose predicted using the three first INRs measured in the hospital. Intraindividual variability of Cl*C50 between hospital stay and after 1 month was evaluated. After 1 month, only 27 patients (54%) were equilibrated. Actual maintenance dose varied from 5 to 30 mg daily. There was no bias between predicted and actual maintenance dose (1.4 mg), but a large root mean squared error (8 mg) was found. The intraindividual variability in Cl*C50 between hospital and maintenance regimen was high (93%), which may explain the dispersion in the predicted maintenance dose.
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