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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Jun 21, 2026

Exploring the Effects of Atmospheric Forcings on Evaporation: Experimental Integration of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer and Shallow Subsurface
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An abrupt climate event in a coupled ocean-atmosphere simulation without external forcing.

A Hall1, R J Stouffer

  • 1Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, New York 10964, USA. alexhall@ldeo.columbia.edu

Nature
|February 24, 2001
PubMed
Summary

Internal atmospheric variability can trigger abrupt climate shifts. A 15,000-year global circulation simulation revealed spontaneous cooling events in the North Atlantic, driven by winds, not freshwater forcing.

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Area of Science:

  • Climate Science
  • Paleoclimatology
  • Oceanography

Background:

  • North Atlantic climate reconstructions show frequent abrupt fluctuations during glacial and Holocene periods.
  • Previous climate models required freshwater forcing to simulate such events.
  • The underlying drivers of these rapid climate changes remain unclear.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the potential for internal atmospheric variability to drive abrupt climate fluctuations in the North Atlantic.
  • To simulate a drastic cooling event without external forcing.

Main Methods:

  • Conducted a 15,000-year global circulation simulation using present-day climate conditions.
  • Analyzed the simulation output for spontaneous climate events and their drivers.

Main Results:

  • A spontaneous, severe cooling event occurred near southern Greenland, lasting 30-40 years with temperatures 6-10 standard deviations below the mean.
  • The event was triggered by persistent northwesterly winds transporting cold, fresh water into the North Atlantic.
  • Oceanic convection shut down, localizing cooling in the upper ocean layer.

Conclusions:

  • Internal atmospheric variability alone can generate extreme climate disruptions in the North Atlantic.
  • The simulation results align with observed records of rapid cooling events.
  • This suggests a potential mechanism for past abrupt climate changes without external triggers.