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Waiting time to parapatric speciation.

S Gavrilets1

  • 1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville 37996, USA. sergey@tiem.utk.edu

Proceedings. Biological Sciences
|February 24, 2001
PubMed
Summary

Speciation can occur through mutation and genetic drift alone, especially with environmental changes. Local adaptation significantly speeds up this process, with the transition phase being much shorter than the total time to speciation.

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Area of Science:

  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Population Genetics
  • Speciation Research

Background:

  • Parapatric speciation occurs when populations diverge while maintaining partial gene flow.
  • Understanding the genetic basis and timescale of speciation is crucial for evolutionary studies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the average waiting time for parapatric speciation under weak migration and mutation.
  • To model the dynamics of reproductive isolation using multilocus generalizations of the Dobzhansky model.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a weak migration and weak mutation approximation.
  • Modeled speciation dynamics as a biased random walk of genetic distance between residents and immigrants.
  • Incorporated classical Dobzhansky model and its multilocus extensions for reproductive isolation.

Main Results:

  • Mutation and genetic drift can drive speciation within 10-1000 generations (scaled by mutation rate) if few genetic changes suffice for reproductive isolation.
  • Weak selection for local adaptation substantially reduces the time to speciation.
  • The actual duration of intermediate forms during parapatric speciation is orders of magnitude shorter than the waiting time.

Conclusions:

  • Parapatric speciation can be rapid, particularly under environmental changes.
  • The duration of the transition phase is approximately inversely proportional to the mutation rate.
  • Environmental shifts are likely triggers for parapatric speciation events.

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