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Analyzing the analysis: a response to Wollert (2000).

¹Mendota Mental Health Institute, 301 Troy Drive, Madison, WI 53704, USA. dorendm@dhfs.state.wi.us

Behavioral Sciences & the Law

|March 10, 2001

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This study refutes a critique of 1998 findings on sexual recidivism base rates. Current civil commitment procedures under-predict recidivism, even when accounting for critique arguments.

Area of Science:

Forensic Psychology
Criminology
Legal Psychology

Background:

This article addresses critiques of 1998 research on sexual recidivism base rates for incarcerated sex offenders.
It specifically examines the validity of assumptions and conclusions presented in the preceding critique.

Discussion:

The analysis confirms that U.S.A. civil commitment referral procedures under-predict sexual recidivism rates, even when accepting the critique's points.
The article contests a specific inference drawn from the original 1998 publication.
Further discussion addresses additional concerns raised in the critique.

Key Insights:

Despite criticisms, the core finding that civil commitment procedures under-predict recidivism remains robust.
The study highlights persistent professional disagreements in the scientific exploration of sexual offending behavior.

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A significant divergence from the preceding critique's conclusions is identified.

Outlook:

Further research is needed to refine recidivism prediction models for sex offenders.
This work contributes to the ongoing debate on effective civil commitment strategies.
Continued scientific discourse is essential for advancing the understanding of sexual recidivism.