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Progress in invasion biology: predicting invaders.

C S. Kolar, D M. Lodge

    Trends in Ecology & Evolution
    |March 14, 2001
    PubMed
    Summary
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    Quantitative methods now help predict invasive species by analyzing release characteristics. Factors like release numbers and vegetative reproduction increase invasion probability, improving ecological predictions.

    Area of Science:

    • Ecology
    • Invasive Species Research
    • Quantitative Ecology

    Background:

    • Predicting invasive species is a key ecological challenge.
    • Historically, prediction relied on qualitative assessments.
    • Recent advances utilize quantitative methods for improved accuracy.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To review and highlight the application of quantitative methods in predicting invasive species.
    • To demonstrate the relationship between release characteristics and invasion success.
    • To advocate for wider adoption of these quantitative approaches.

    Main Methods:

    • Analysis of existing ecological studies employing quantitative methods.
    • Identification of key species traits and release characteristics correlated with invasiveness.

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  • Statistical examination of release numbers, release events, invasion history, and reproductive strategies.

    • Main Results:

    • The probability of bird establishment increases with the number of individuals and release events.
    • Plant invasiveness is more likely for species with a history of invasion and vegetative reproduction.
    • Quantitative relationships between release characteristics and invasion success are evident.

    Conclusions:

    • Quantitative methods offer a powerful tool for predicting invasive species.
    • Understanding release dynamics and species traits is crucial for risk assessment.
    • Wider application of these methods will enhance our ability to forecast invasion patterns.