Modeling factors influencing malaria incidence in Myanmar

This is a documentary study to determine factors influencing malaria incidence in Myanmar. The period of study covered was from 1989 to 1998 using time series data. Multiple regression analysis was performed on the dependent variable, yearly incidence of malaria in Myanmar, with hypothesized independent variables including variables related to epidemiology, demography, service and socioeconomic status. Malaria incidence was inversely associated with the government budget for malaria control at the 5% level and with the case fatality rate of malaria at the 10% level. Other variables: yearly gross domestic product, yearly proportion of Plasmodium falciparum cases and yearly DDT use of spraying displayed expected signs but were not statistically significant.