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Updated: Jul 21, 2026

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Cancer mortality in the United States and Germany
N Becker1, J E Muscat, E L Wynder
1Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum, Division of Clinical Epidemiology, Im Neuenheimer Feld 280, 69120 Heidelberg, Germany. n.becker@dkfz.de
Cancer mortality rates are converging between the USA and Germany, but lifestyle factors don't fully explain these trends. Further prevention and screening are recommended for both nations.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Cancer Research
Background:
- The USA and Germany, leading industrial nations, exhibit similar lifestyles and living standards today.
- Fifty years ago, post-WWII, significant disparities existed in living conditions between the USA and Germany.
- Cancer occurrence is largely attributed to lifestyle factors, necessitating comparative analysis of cancer rates reflecting historical differences.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare time trends in cancer mortality between the USA and Germany.
- To investigate the parallelism between lifestyle factor changes and cancer mortality patterns in both countries.
- To identify discrepancies and convergences in cancer occurrence linked to lifestyle evolution.
Main Methods:
- Descriptive epidemiology approach.
- Comparative analysis of time trends in cancer mortality.
- Examination of lifestyle factor data in parallel with cancer mortality data.
Main Results:
- Overall cancer mortality rates are converging between the USA and Germany.
- Inconsistencies observed: similar lung cancer rates despite differing smoking patterns.
- Decreasing rectal cancer mortality noted despite rising risk factor prevalence.
Conclusions:
- Positive lifestyle changes suggest continued decline in cancer mortality for both nations.
- Primary prevention strategies are crucial for Germany.
- Enhanced screening programs are recommended for both the USA and Germany.
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