Transforming growth factor-beta1 expression in early biopsy specimen predicts long-term graft function following...

The main cause of late graft loss or declining long-term graft function is chronic allograft nephropathy (CAN), characterized by progressive interstitial fibrosis. Transforming growth factor (TGF)-beta1 plays a key role in fibrogenesis. We immunohistochemically investigated whether the degree of TGF-beta1 expression in early biopsy specimens routinely obtained from stable allografts at 100 d could predict fibrosis and graft dysfunction in the late phase. Patients were children with grafts from related donors. We immunohistochemically determined intracellular and extracellular expression of TGF-beta1 in the graft using LC antibody (LC) for intracellular TGF-beta1 and CC antibody (CC) for extracellular TGF-beta1. The change in creatinine clearance between 100 d and 3 yr after transplantation (DeltaCcr) was used as an index of long-term graft function. We also used image analysis to calculate the relative area involved by interstitial fibrosis in the trichrome-stained section of graft biopsy specimens at 100 d and 3 yr, designating the change as DeltaFI. DeltaCcr was -4.2+/-9.4 mL/min in subjects with minimal early immunoreactivity for CC and -20.5+/-15.9 mL/min in subjects with strong reactivity (p<0.05). DeltaCcr was -14.5+/-18.6 mL/min in subjects with minimal early immunoreactivity for LC and -11.7+/-12.8 mL/min in those with strong reactivity. DeltaFI in subjects with minimal CC reactivity (1.28+/-4.11%) tended to be lower than that in subjects with strong reactivity (8.45+/-15.47%). Neither fibrosis at 100 d nor DeltaFI differed between subjects with minimal and strong LC reactivity. Thus, strong extracellular TGF-beta1 expression in grafts at 100 d after transplantation is associated with a long-term decline in graft function and tends to be associated with increased graft fibrosis at 3 yr.