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All-cause mortality among young children in western Kenya. VI: the Asembo Bay Cohort Project
P D McElroy1, F O ter Kuile, A W Hightower
1Division of Parasitic Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia 30333, USA. pgm9@cdc.gov
Insights
Infant mortality rates in rural Kenya are alarmingly high, with a 26.5% cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality in children under five. These findings highlight critical health challenges in sub-Saharan Africa.
Area of Science:
- Child Health
- Epidemiology
- Public Health in Africa
Background:
- All-cause mortality data for rural sub-Saharan Africa, especially community-based infant mortality rates, are scarce.
- The Asembo Bay Cohort Project (ABCP) in western Kenya established a fixed birth cohort to address this data gap.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate all-cause mortality rates in children during their first five years of life.
- To provide community-based mortality estimates in an area of intense Plasmodium falciparum transmission.
Main Methods:
- Longitudinal follow-up of over 1,500 children enrolled at birth between 1992 and 1996.
- Household surveys in early 1999 to determine the survival status of live births.
Main Results:
- The cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality for the 1992-1996 birth cohort was 26.5% (95% CI, 24.1-28.9%).
- Neonatal and infant mortality rates were 32 and 176 per 1,000 live births, respectively.
- These rates are substantially higher than national estimates for Kenya.
Conclusions:
- The study provides crucial baseline data on childhood mortality in a high-transmission malaria area.
- Findings will aid future monitoring of mortality changes related to disease control programs (e.g., malaria, HIV/AIDS).
Abstract:
Although all-cause mortality has been used as an indicator of the health status of childhood populations, such data are sparse for most rural areas of sub-Saharan Africa, particularly community-based estimates of infant mortality rates. The longitudinal follow-up of more than 1,500 children enrolled at birth into the Asembo Bay Cohort Project (ABCP) in western Kenya between 1992 and 1996 has provided a fixed birth cohort for estimating all-cause mortality over the first 5 yr of life. We surveyed mothers and guardians of cohort children in early 1999 to determine survival status. A total of 1,260 households were surveyed to determine the survival status of 1,556 live births (99.2% of original cohort, n = 1,570). Most mothers (66%) still resided but 27.5% had migrated, and 5.5% had died. In early 1999, the overall cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality for the entire 1992-1996 birth cohort was 26.5% (95% confidence interval, 24.1-28.9%). Neonatal and infant mortality were 32 and 176 per 1,000 live births, respectively. These community-based estimates of mortality in the ABCP area are substantially higher than for Kenya overall (nationally, infant mortality is 75 per 1,000 live births). The results provide a baseline description of all-cause mortality among children in an area with intense Plasmodium falciparum transmission and will be useful in future efforts to monitor changes in death rates attributable to control programs for specific diseases (e.g., malaria and HIV/AIDS) in Africa.
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