Prognostic significance of blood pressure measured on rising

Previous works using ambulatory blood pressure (BP) monitoring demonstrated that independently of the mean level of BP, the variability in BP, or the day-night range, could have prognostic significance. We have also found that the value of BP on rising in the morning is strongly correlated with left ventricular mass of hypertensive individuals independently of the 24-h value. In the present study, we sought its predictive value for cardiovascular complications in a cohort of hypertensive patients. The population studied belongs to a cohort of initially untreated hypertensive patients recruited since 1983 and followed for more than 5 years. Patients were then treated and followed by their family doctor. At entry, all patients were equipped with a device to measure ambulatory BP. They were requested to trigger a measurement manually on rising in the morning (arising BP). The data on their outcome were collected by a physician unaware of the initial state of the patients. A total of 256 patients have been followed up for 5 years or more, 19 were lost to follow-up. The mean follow-up period was 84 +/- 29 months. Cardiovascular complications were recorded in 23 individuals. The arising systolic BP (SBP) was significantly higher in the group who presented a complication. In a stepwise discriminant analysis including age, office, fitting, arising and 24-h average SBPs only age and arising SBP entered the equation. In conclusion, the single BP value measured by an ambulatory device on rising in the morning seems more discriminant of future cardiovascular events than the value of BP measured on fitting the device or the average of three measurements taken under standardised conditions in the hospital or office.