Tandem high-dose chemotherapy in high-risk primary breast cancer: a multivariate analysis and a matched-pair...

Stem cell-supported high-dose chemotherapy (HDCT) is currently being evaluated in patients with high-risk primary breast cancer (HRPBC), as defined by extensive axillary lymph node involvement. Conclusive results from randomized studies with sufficient patient numbers and follow-up are pending. We retrospectively analyzed 144 HRPBC patients enrolled in a single-arm trial of tandem HDCT at the University of Heidelberg to evaluate the prognostic value of nodal ratio, HER2/neu status, and cytokeratin-positive bone marrow cells and to compare the outcomes of these patients with those of a conventionally treated control group of 91 patients matched by nodal ratio, tumor size, combined hormone-receptor status, and HER2/neu status. The tandem HDCT regimen consisted of 2 cycles of induction chemotherapy followed by 2 cycles of blood stem cell-supported high-dose ifosfamide, 12 g/m2; carboplatin, 900 mg/M2; and epirubicin, 180 mg/m2. Conventionally treated patients received a regimen containing anthracycline without taxanes (52 patients) or CMF (cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and 5-flurouracil; 39 patients). With a median follow-up of 3.8 years, disease-free, distant disease-free, and overall survival rates were 62%, 65%, and 84%, respectively. In univariate analysis, besides the hormone receptor status (P = .007), HER2/neu overexpression was the strongest predictor of earlier death (P = .017). In multivariate analysis, a nodal ratio of > or =0.8 was found to be the only independent predictor of relapse (relative risk [RR] = 2.09; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-3.60; P = .008) and only the absence of hormone receptors was associated with earlier death (RR = 3.59; 95% CI, 1.45-8.86; P = .006). Despite a trend toward later distant relapse after HDCT compared with standard-dose chemotherapy with a median follow-up of 3 years (P = .059), thus far, matched-pair analysis has not demonstrated significantly better survival rates after HDCT in all matched patients (P = .786) or in the subgroups of anthracycline-treated patients and patients with and without overexpression of HER2/neu. So far, the follow-up time has been too short to draw definite conclusions; however, patients with a nodal ratio of > or =0.8, receptor-negative tumors, or HER2/neu overexpression are at high risk for relapse and death, irrespective of the kind of adjuvant chemotherapy.