Detecting which invasive cancers at mammographic screening saves lives?

Assessment of the features of primary operable breast carcinomas arising in women known to subsequently develop metastatic disease, to show for which invasive breast cancers earlier detection by mammographic screening is potentially beneficial. These data were applied to a separate series of screen detected cancers.

Features associated with the development of metastatic disease after a previous operable breast cancer were ascertained from examination of histological sections of the initial primary carcinoma and in particular the incidence of nodal positivity and definite vascular invasion. Trends in the frequency of nodal involvement and vascular invasion according to histological grade, invasive size, and tumour type were then examined in a further group of 573 screen detected invasive cancers to predict the likelihood of development of systemic disease in these women.

Of 173 women who developed metastatic disease after a previous operable breast cancer, 79 (72%) had nodal metastases and 62 (59%) had definite vascular invasion. A high proportion (84%) had either lymph node metastases or vascular invasion or both. The absence of vascular invasion and nodal involvement in invasive breast cancer indicated a low risk of subsequent development of metastatic disease. In the screen detected group, grade 1 invasive cancers <20 mm in size and grade 2 and 3 cancers <10 mm in size had low rates of nodal involvement and vascular invasion. There was a gradual trend to small size, lymph node negativity, and less vascular invasion when comparing screen detected ductal carcinoma of no special type, tubular mixed carcinoma, and tubular carcinoma. Cancers with a lobular component tended to be larger and more often lymph node positive than ductal and no specific type carcinomas.

These data suggest that identification of grade 1 cancers less than 20 mm in size and grade 2 and 3 cancers less than 10 mm in size at screening is likely to be beneficial, with a lower likelihood of developing metastatic disease from these lesions. The detection of tubular mixed carcinomas and ductal carcinomas of no specific type also appears beneficial. However the detection of tumours with lobular features at breast screening does not seem to significantly benefit the patient.