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A mathematical model for malaria transmission relating global warming and local socioeconomic conditions
1Departamento de Matemática Aplicada, Instituto de Matemática, Estatística e Computação Científica, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Campinas, SP, Brasil. hyunyang@ime.unicamp.br
Objective:
Sensitivity analysis was applied to a mathematical model describing malaria transmission relating global warming and local socioeconomic conditions.
Methods:
A previous compartment model was proposed to describe the overall transmission of malaria. This model was built up on several parameters and the prevalence of malaria in a community was characterized by the values assigned to them. To assess the control efforts, the model parameters can vary on broad intervals.
Results:
By performing the sensitivity analysis on equilibrium points, which represent the level of malaria infection in a community, the different possible scenarios are obtained when the parameters are changed.
Conclusions:
Depending on malaria risk, the efforts to control its transmission can be guided by a subset of parameters used in the mathematical model.