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Published on: February 28, 2012
Atrial fibrillation: a risk factor for increased mortality--an AVID registry analysis
1Division of Cardiology, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada. dgwyse@ucalgary.ca
Insights
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant risk factor for mortality in patients with ventricular tachyarrhythmias. This association persists even after accounting for other health conditions and certain antiarrhythmic drug use.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Research
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is increasingly recognized as a serious arrhythmia.
- Its association with mortality risk, particularly in patients with ventricular tachyarrhythmias, requires further investigation.
- Previous studies may have overestimated AF's impact due to unadjusted confounding factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if a history of atrial fibrillation/flutter is an independent predictor of mortality in patients within the Antiarrhythmics Versus Implantable Defibrillators (AVID) Trial registry.
- To assess the influence of antiarrhythmic drug use on mortality risk in this patient population.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 3762 patients from the AVID Trial registry, with follow-up averaging 773 days.
- Baseline variables, including history of atrial fibrillation/flutter, were examined.
- Multivariate Cox regression analysis was employed to adjust for 27 pre-selected co-variables.
Main Results:
- A history of atrial fibrillation/flutter was present in 24.4% of subjects.
- After adjusting for baseline differences, AF/flutter remained a significant independent predictor of mortality (RR=1.20; 95% CI=1.03-1.40; p=0.020).
- Use of antiarrhythmic drugs, excluding amiodarone or sotalol, was also an independent predictor of mortality (RR=1.34; 95% CI=1.07-1.69; p=0.011).
Conclusions:
- Atrial fibrillation/flutter is a significant independent risk factor for increased mortality in patients presenting with ventricular tachyarrhythmias.
- The proarrhythmic effects of certain antiarrhythmic drugs may have previously inflated the perceived mortality risk associated with AF/flutter.
Abstract:
Emerging evidence suggests that atrial fibrillation is not a benign arrhythmia. It is associated with increased risk of death. The magnitude of association is controversial and potential causes remain unknown. Patients in the registry of the Antiarrhythmics Versus Implantable Defibrillators (AVID) Trial form the basis for this report. Baseline variables, in particular the presence or absence of a history of atrial fibrillation/flutter, were examined in relation to survival. Multivariate Cox regression was used to adjust for differences in important baseline co-variables using 27 pre-selected variables. There were 3762 subjects who were followed for an average of 773+/-420 days; 1459 (39 %) qualified with ventricular fibrillation and 2303 (61 %) with ventricular tachycardia. A history of atrial fibrillation/flutter was present in 24.4 percent. There were many differences in baseline variables between those with and those without a history of atrial fibrillation/flutter. After adjustment for baseline differences, a history of atrial fibrillation/flutter remained a significant independent predictor of mortality, (relative risk=1.20; 95 % confidence intervals=1.03-1.40; p=0.020). Antiarrhythmic drug use, other than amiodarone or sotalol, was also a significant independent predictor of mortality (relative risk 1.34; 95 % confidence intervals 1.07-1.69, p=0.011. Atrial fibrillation/flutter is a significant independent risk factor for increased mortality in patients presenting with ventricular tachyarrhythmias. This risk may have been overestimated in previous studies that could not adjust for the proarrhythmic effects of antiarrhythmic drugs other than amiodarone or sotalol.
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