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Updated: Aug 13, 2026

Assessment of Kidney Function in Mouse Models of Glomerular Disease
Published on: June 30, 2018
Does microalbuminuria predict diabetic nephropathy?
B P Tabaei1, A S Al-Kassab, L L Ilag
1Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-0354, USA.
Objective:
To describe risk factors associated with microalbuminuria (MA) in subjects with diabetes, investigate the predictive value of MA as a marker of risk for diabetic nephropathy (DN), and define risk factors associated with the development and progression of MA.
Research Design And Methods:
We conducted a prospective longitudinal study of 23 diabetic subjects with persistent MA and 209 diabetic subjects without MA who attended diabetes clinics at the University of Michigan Medical Center in 1989 and 1990. Both groups were examined at baseline and after 7 years. At baseline, urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratios were studied in random, first morning, and 24-h urine samples. At follow-up, a 12-h overnight urine sample was collected and analyzed for albumin and creatinine. At baseline, MA was defined by at least two separate urine specimens with albumin-to-creatinine ratios between 30 and 299 microg albumin per milligram of creatinine.
Results:
MA regressed in 56% of subjects with baseline MA without systematic application of corrective measures and developed in 16% of subjects without baseline MA. The predictive value positive of MA as a marker of risk for DN was 43%, and the predictive value negative was 77%. In the combined cohort, the incidence and progression of MA were significantly associated with poor glycemic control and duration of diabetes between 10 and 14 years.
Conclusions:
MA may not be as sensitive and specific a predictor of DN as previously suggested. Other markers of risk for DN are needed for optimal clinical management.
Insights
Microalbuminuria (MA) may not be a reliable predictor of diabetic nephropathy (DN). Poor glycemic control and diabetes duration are linked to MA development and progression, indicating a need for better risk markers.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Endocrinology
- Diabetology
Background:
- Microalbuminuria (MA) is a known indicator of early kidney damage in diabetes.
- Diabetic nephropathy (DN) is a major complication of diabetes mellitus.
- The predictive value of MA for DN requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify risk factors for microalbuminuria (MA) in diabetic patients.
- To assess the predictive accuracy of MA for diabetic nephropathy (DN).
- To determine factors influencing the development and progression of MA.
Main Methods:
- Prospective longitudinal study of diabetic subjects with and without MA.
- Baseline and 7-year follow-up examinations.
- Analysis of urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratios in multiple urine sample types.
Main Results:
- MA regressed in 56% of subjects and developed in 16% of controls.
- Positive predictive value of MA for DN was 43%; negative predictive value was 77%.
- Poor glycemic control and diabetes duration (10-14 years) correlated with MA incidence and progression.
Conclusions:
- MA's sensitivity and specificity as a DN predictor may be lower than previously thought.
- Current markers may be insufficient for optimal clinical management of DN.
- Further research into novel risk markers for DN is warranted.
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