Early withdrawal from cervical cancer screening: the question of cost-effectiveness

In countries such as the UK, mass population screening for cervical cancer has been undertaken since the 1960s. Although of established effectiveness, no formal evaluation of the screening protocol was carried out prior to its implementation. On the basis of a published mathematical modelling exercise, it has been speculated that withdrawing women from the screening programme at an earlier age than at present, whilst leading to a higher rate of invasive cervical cancer (ICC), could reduce resource use. Using estimates of screening and treatment costs, and of expected life-years lost following earlier withdrawal, we simulated cost-effectiveness ratios for various scenarios described by the model. Median cost savings resulting from a life-year lost never exceeded pound10000 for any scenario, although the estimates were particularly sensitive to the assumed age at cancer presentation and the rate of cancer progression. Our findings seem to offer little economic support for the early withdrawal of subjects from the cervical screening programme.