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Nonlinear models of clinical judgement: communal nonlinearity and nonlinear accuracy
1Faculty of Management, Tel Aviv University, Israel. yoavgn@post.tau.ac.il
Abstract:
Despite our intuition that representative expert judgments are highly nonlinear, previous studies have shown only little, if any, nonlinearity in such judgments. The current study presents a method for assessing nonlinearity in judgment that is based on estimating communal nonlinearity--the systematic nonlinearity shared by the community of judges. The article also examines the predictive accuracy of communal nonlinearity, and compares it with the corresponding linear accuracy.
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