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Updated: Jul 27, 2026
20:36
Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
[Demographic forecasts for Russia and Ukraine]
1National Institute for Ukrainian-Russian Relations, Kutuzov Str., 18/7, 252133 Kiev, Ukraine. psi@niurr.gov.ua
Advances in Gerontology = Uspekhi Gerontologii
|October 5, 2001
Summary
This study compares demographic forecasts for Russia and Ukraine up to 2030. It analyzes over ten projections from various centers, revealing key trends in population dynamics.
Area of Science:
- Demography
- Population Studies
- Sociology
Context:
- Comparative analysis of recent demographic forecasts for Russia and Ukraine.
- Focus on projections extending to 2030.
- Inclusion of multiple forecasts from scientific centers and individual demographers.
Purpose:
- To critically evaluate and compare diverse demographic projections for Russia and Ukraine.
- To identify commonalities and discrepancies in population forecasts.
- To synthesize findings from over ten distinct forecasting models.
Summary:
- The research analyzes more than ten demographic forecasts for Russia and Ukraine published in the last decade, with projections extending to 2030.
- Each forecast considered includes multiple variants, and some individual authors' projections are also incorporated.
- This comparative approach aims to provide a comprehensive overview of expected demographic trajectories for both nations.
Impact:
- Informs policymakers and researchers on potential future population trends in Eastern Europe.
- Highlights the range of uncertainty in demographic forecasting.
- Provides a basis for further research into the factors influencing population change in Russia and Ukraine.
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