Factors influencing physicians' assessment of urgency for inpatient surgery

To assess to what extent patient, disease and referral characteristics influenced physicians' assessment of urgency of inpatient surgery.

In total, 452 patients, mean age 50 years, were examined in surgical or gynaecological outpatient clinics in one hospital and referred for inpatient surgery. Data were collected by the examining physician, and the patients were either given a maximal waiting time or the waiting time was not specified. A stepwise logistic regression, with urgency for surgery within four weeks or less as the dependent variable, was used. The results are presented as adjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Of 452 patients, 181 (40%) were deemed urgent (four weeks or less). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, suspected or verified malignant disease (OR 3.45, 95% CI 2.11 to 5.64), risk of serious deterioration (OR 4.53, 95% CI 2.17 to 9.46), being on sick leave from work (OR 3.97, 95% CI 1.82 to 8.64) and being assessed by a physician undergoing specialist training (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.24 to 3.21) were significant predictors of being assessed as needing inpatient surgery urgently.

Physicians' judgements, in an informal way, internalize many of the public's concerns for fairness, such as the severity of a condition, the potential for improvement and aversion to inequalities in health. More research is needed to understand the difference in urgency ratings between junior and more experienced physicians.