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Long-term predictors of coronary artery disease and mortality in type 1 diabetes
1Diabetes Department, Queen Alexandra Hospital, Portsmouth, UK. uteweis@doctors.org.uk
Insights
Predictors of death and coronary artery disease (CAD) in type 1 diabetes mellitus (DM) were identified. Renal impairment and retinopathy predict mortality, while abnormal lipoprotein metabolism and longer diabetes duration predict CAD.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Nephrology
- Cardiology
Background:
- Type 1 diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with increased risks of mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD).
- Identifying predictors of adverse outcomes is crucial for managing type 1 DM patients.
- Long-term follow-up studies are essential to understand disease progression and risk factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess clinical and biochemical predictors of death and/or coronary artery disease (CAD) in type 1 DM patients.
- To identify key indicators for mortality and CAD development in this population.
- To elucidate the role of renal function, retinopathy, and lipoprotein metabolism in adverse outcomes.
Main Methods:
- A 14-year follow-up study of 147 type 1 DM patients.
- Baseline clinical and biochemical data were collected.
- Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of mortality and CAD.
Main Results:
- Mortality predictors included higher serum creatinine, urine albumin/creatinine ratio, and retinopathy; lower serum apolipoprotein A1 and insulin dose.
- CAD predictors included longer diabetes duration, older age at onset/presentation, retinopathy, neuropathy, higher serum creatinine, lower HDL and apolipoprotein A1, and higher LDL and apolipoprotein B.
- Adjusted logistic regression identified urine albumin/creatinine ratio, retinopathy, serum creatinine, and urea as strong mortality predictors.
- Diabetes duration, HDL cholesterol, serum creatinine, apolipoprotein B, LDL cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure were strong CAD predictors.
Conclusions:
- Renal impairment and retinopathy are significant predictors of mortality in type 1 DM.
- Abnormal lipoprotein metabolism plays a crucial role in the development of CAD in type 1 DM.
- Early identification of these risk factors can aid in proactive management and prevention strategies.
Abstract:
We assessed clinical and biochemical predictors of death and/or cardiovascular disease in 147 type 1 diabetes mellitus (DM) patients followed-up for 14 years. At follow-up, 28 of patients (19%) had died, and 25 patients (18%) had developed or died of coronary artery disease (CAD). At baseline, those who died had significantly higher serum creatinine (p=0.001) and urine albumin/creatinine ratio (p=0.016), greater prevalence of retinopathy (p=0.006), lower serum apolipoprotein A1 (p=0.046), and lower daily insulin dose (p=0.024) than those who survived. CAD patients had a longer duration of diabetes (p<0.001), were older at the onset of diabetes and at presentation (p=0.001), and had higher prevalences of retinopathy (p=0.005) and neuropathy (p=0.016). The CAD group also had higher baseline serum creatinine (p=0.02), lower HDL cholesterol (p=0.004) and apolipoprotein A1 (p=0.007) and higher LDL cholesterol (p=0.028) and apolipoprotein B concentrations (p=0.027). Under logistic regression analysis (adjusted for age and sex), baseline urine albumin/creatinine ratio (p=0.003), presence of retinopathy (p=0.004), serum creatinine (p=0.028), and serum urea (p=0.034) were the most powerful predictors of mortality, while duration of diabetes (p<0.0001), baseline HDL cholesterol (p=0.012), serum creatinine (p=0.02), apolipoprotein B (p=0.038), LDL cholesterol (p=0.039), and systolic blood pressure (p=0.055) were the strongest predictors of CAD. These findings emphasize the role of abnormal lipoprotein metabolism in the development of CAD in type 1 DM. Indicators of renal impairment and the presence of retinopathy seem to be of greater importance in predicting overall mortality.
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