Jove
Visualize
Contact Us
JoVE
x logofacebook logolinkedin logoyoutube logo
ABOUT JoVE
OverviewLeadershipBlogJoVE Help Center
AUTHORS
Publishing ProcessEditorial BoardScope & PoliciesPeer ReviewFAQSubmit
LIBRARIANS
TestimonialsSubscriptionsAccessResourcesLibrary Advisory BoardFAQ
RESEARCH
JoVE JournalMethods CollectionsJoVE Encyclopedia of ExperimentsArchive
EDUCATION
JoVE CoreJoVE BusinessJoVE Science EducationJoVE Lab ManualFaculty Resource CenterFaculty Site
Terms & Conditions of Use
Privacy Policy
Policies

Related Experiment Videos

Using trend theory to explain heroin use trends.

M Agar1, H S Reisinger

  • 1Friends Social Research Center, Baltimore, Maryland 21217, USA. magar@anth.umd.edu

Journal of Psychoactive Drugs
|November 23, 2001
PubMed
Summary

Trend theory explains rising heroin use by integrating population and distribution histories. It models epidemics using agent-based adaptive systems, offering insights into drug use trends.

Related Concept Videos

You might also read

Related Articles

Articles linked to this work by shared authors, journal, and citation graph.

Sort by
Same author

Pneumothorax as a Poor Prognostic Indicator in COVID-19 in Turkey: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis.

Nigerian journal of clinical practice·2024
Same author

Assessing a Suitable Radiotherapy Utilisation Benchmark for Older Patients With Head and Neck Cancer.

Clinical oncology (Royal College of Radiologists (Great Britain))·2024
Same author

Sedation with Propofol and Propofol-Ketamine (Ketofol) in Flexible Bronchoscopy: A Randomized, Double-Blind, Prospective Study.

Nigerian journal of clinical practice·2023
Same author

Follicular fluid redox balance and DNA damage according to PCOS phenotype.

European review for medical and pharmacological sciences·2023
Same author

CELPI: trial protocol for a randomised controlled trial of a Carer End of Life Planning Intervention in people dying with dementia.

BMC geriatrics·2022
Same author

Vitamin D supplementation inhibits NF-kß signaling pathway in lean and obese women with PCOS.

European review for medical and pharmacological sciences·2022

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Sociology
  • Complexity Theory

Background:

  • Heroin use epidemics present a significant public health challenge.
  • Understanding the drivers of rapid increases in drug use is crucial for effective intervention.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce and explain Trend Theory as a framework for understanding heroin use epidemics.
  • To integrate historical population and distribution data to explain epidemiological trends.
  • To position Trend Theory within the context of agent-based adaptive models from complexity theory.

Main Methods:

  • Historical analysis of heroin use trends in specific populations and geographic areas.
  • Application of agent-based adaptive modeling principles.
  • Integration of epidemiological data with social and distribution system histories.

Main Results:

  • Trend Theory provides a novel approach to explaining the "why" behind specific heroin use increases.
  • The theory draws on case studies of urban African-American (1960s) and suburban white youth (1990s) heroin epidemics in Baltimore.
  • It frames these historical trends as emergent properties of complex adaptive systems.

Conclusions:

  • Trend Theory offers a robust, complexity-based model for understanding epidemiological shifts in substance use.
  • This framework can inform targeted prevention and intervention strategies for heroin use.
  • Further research can explore the application of Trend Theory to other substance use epidemics.

Related Experiment Videos