Thyroid carcinoma diagnosis based on a set of karyometric parameters of follicular cells

In the works of various authors, performed with the help of morphometry, an assessment of cell changes was carried out, as a rule, by one sign of their atypia (e.g. area of cell nuclei). Moreover, the selective analysis of morphometric data for certain nosologic forms was performed. Such an approach allowed researchers to develop only additional diagnostic criteria of thyroid carcinoma. At the same time, the use of a set of quantitative signs of cell atypia as a criterion for tumor malignancy made it possible to improve oncologic diagnosis. In this study, which is a first step in the development of a quantitative approach to thyroid carcinoma diagnosis, a system of karyometric parameters was developed with the help of morphometry of cytologic material of patients with major nosologic forms of thyroid pathology (papillary and follicular carcinoma, follicular adenoma, autoimmune thyroiditis, and nodular colloid and diffuse toxic goiter). The significance of each parameter in thyroid carcinoma diagnosis was evaluated.

Thyroid cells of autopsy, operative, and aspiration biopsy material were the object of the study. One hundred fifty-two preparations with histologically verified diagnosis were studied. Light morphometry was performed with the help of a semiautomatic computer analyzer of images. One hundred fifty thyroid nuclei were assessed in each preparation.

Among many karyometric parameters, six were selected: mean area of thyrocyte nuclei, ratio of frequencies, and number of classes on histograms of distribution of their area, coefficient and a free term of the regression equation to a scattered diagram of perimeter and nuclear area, and the discriminant index. Boundary values of these parameters between the malignant and benign pathology were united into an expert system for thyroid carcinoma diagnosis. Clinical trials of the system were performed. On the basis of the obtained results, the informativity (accuracy, sensitivity, specificity) of its karyometric parameters was assessed. The formula for calculation of the weighting coefficient for each parameter was derived, the diagnostic index being determined by the sum of their values.

An expert system was created based on a set of karyometric parameters reflecting the regularities of pathologic changes in thyrocyte nuclei with malignant and benign pathology. The informativity and weighting coefficients included into the system of parameters have been assessed, which made it possible to perform the probabilistic diagnosis of thyroid carcinoma.